Sunday, July 6, 2014

Super Typhoon Neoguri (Florita) Update #10

Issued (0430 UTC) 1230pm PhT 070714

Super Typhoon Neoguri (Bagyong Florita) has intensified just a little bit more as it moves ever closer to the Japanese Islands. The eye was last located approximately 530km south of Okinawa or about 780km southeast of Taipei. Maximum sustained winds are up to 250kph with gusts of up to 305kph. Neoguri is moving north northwestward at 25kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 Latest satellite image shows the eye of Neoguri remaining relatively well-organized. Convection is still strong but has warmed over the past 6 hours which may hint at some weakening. Aside from the dry air, there has also been a slight increase in wind shear which may impact the typhoon's structure.

Radar Image from JMA

As expected, Neoguri's outer rain bands are starting to move towards the Miyako Islands. Bands will continue moving from the south and should begin affecting Okinawa later tonight. Winds will also start to increase later in the day. For the latest radar image, please click HERE (JMA Website)

Super Typhoon Neoguri should maintain its intensity for another 12 hours. Sea surface temperatures are still warm enough and the excellent outflow should diminish the effects of the increasing vertical wind shear. Worst conditions for Miyako Islands are from tomorrow morning (Tuesday) and into the afternoon. Meanwhile, Okinawa will feel the brunt of Neoguri by noon and into early evening on Tuesday.

Please watch our video from this morning for more in-depth analysis and forecast for Okinawa and the rest of the Japanese Islands.

We'll have another update later tonight. Stay safe!

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