Saturday, June 14, 2014

Tropical Storm Hagibis Update #1

Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 061514

The Tropical Depression (95W) that we've been monitoring over the past few days have intensified into a Tropical Storm last night and has been given the international name of 'Hagibis.' Tropical Storm Hagibis was last located approximately 270km east southeast of Hong Kong. Maximum sustained winds are at 75kph with gusts of up to 95kph. TS Hagibis is currently moving northward at a slow speed of 5kph.

IR Image from NOAA

Latest satellite image shows the system has managed to consolidate with convection forming much closer to the circulation center. Much of the activity, however, is concentrated on the southern half of the storm. Conditions in the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) are marginally favorable allowing Hagibis to maintain its present intensity up through landfall.

Radar Image from CMA

Latest radar out of Guangdong Province shows the heaviest bands of rain are still located offshore. However, light to moderate rains will start to impact the province later today. Even Hong Kong will feel the effects of Hagibis as it moves slowly northward. We are expecting anywhere from 50 to 150mm of rain over the next two days, especially in the Guangdong and Fujian Province border.

For the latest radar images and forecasts from China, please click HERE (CMA Website)

Tropical Storm Hagibis is expected to at least maintain its current intensity and should make landfall by tomorrow afternoon in Guangdong Province, near the city of Shantou. Hagibis will bring stormy conditions in the region over the next few days but should quickly weaken and dissipate as it moves over land.

We'll have another update later this afternoon.

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