Sunday, March 2, 2014

Tropical Storm Faxai Update #4

Issued (05 UTC) 1pm PhT 030314

Tropical Storm Faxai continues to show improvements as it moves northward across the Pacific. The storm was last located approximately 550km east southeast of Guam. Maximum sustained winds remain at 85kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Faxai is moving northward at 10kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows convective activity continue to grow and become more organized. The storm as a whole also looks a lot more symmetrical than it did 24 hours ago. Further analysis show banding is becoming more tightly-wrapped around the center which is indicative of further intensification. Right now, low to moderate shear is helping outflow channels to become more pronounced. Combined with warm sea temperatures and a moist atmosphere, Faxai looks to remain in a region of somewhat favorable conditions.

Tropical Storm Faxai will continue moving northward and should not really pose a threat to the Mariana Islands. The only effects we can see are the high surf and breezy conditions; both of which will likely persist over the next two to three days. Faxai will continue intensifying and should reach high-end TS intensity before weakening starting Wednesday as it heads to less favorable environment.

We'll have another update later today.

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