Saturday, November 2, 2013

Typhoon Krosa Update #10

Issued (2330 UTC) 730am PhT 110313

Typhoon Krosa is weakening this morning as it meanders near the coast of China. The storm center was last located approximately 230km south southeast of Hong Kong. Maximum sustained winds are at 140kph with gusts of up to 175kph. Typhoon Krosa is moving southward at 5kph.

Hong Kong Observatory continues to issue Standby Signal No. 1 and continues to advise regarding the high swells generated by Krosa.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Typhoon Krosa is starting to encounter stronger wind shear which is disrupting the convective activity. The eye is no longer defined and further analysis suggests the eyewall is becoming disrupted especially along the southern periphery.

Krosa should begin to turn to the southwest today as the ridge in Southwestern China is strengthening and becoming the more dominant steering layer in the region. It will also continue weakening and could be downgraded to a Tropical Storm later today. It will move near the island of Hainan by tomorrow and could bring scattered rain showers and gusty winds in the area.

Meanwhile, a tropical disturbance was spotted moving across the Philippine Sea today. This low pressure area, Invest 98W, will continue moving westward and could bring unsettled weather for parts of Mindanao and Visayas in the next two days.

We'll have another update later today.

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