Saturday, October 12, 2013

Typhoon Nari (Santi) Update #9

Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 101313

Nari (Bagyong Santi) remains a strong Category 2 Typhoon as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility. The center of Nari was last located approximately 650km west northwest of Manila or about 790km south of Hong Kong. Maximum sustained winds are at 155kph with gusts of up to 195kph. Typhoon Nari is currently moving westward at 25kph.

PAGASA has finally lowered all Public Storm Warning Signals in the country. However, Nari did leave 13 people dead and millions of people across Central Luzon without power. Many roads are still impassable due to fallen trees and washed out bridges. We'll continue to update any reports from the Philippines in our next updates.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows Nari's symmetrical central dense overcast with very strong convective activity near the center. Radial outflow has also improved and further analysis suggests the eyewall is showing further improvement this morning. Wind shear remains light to moderate and the surface temperatures across the South China Sea remains favorable. We may still see another round of intensification today before it starts to interact with the terrain in Vietnam.

Typhoon Nari is forecast to continue moving westward today, intensifying slightly along the way. It will move just south of Hainan later tonight and could bring light rains in the region. Nari is forecast to make landfall in Central Vietnam early tomorrow morning (Monday) as a strong Category 2 typhoon. After landfall, it will rapidly deteriorate but will continue to bring rains across Vietnam and Laos.

We'll have another update later today.

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