Issued (1330 UTC) 930pm PhT 102313
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Typhoon Francisco has slightly weakened as it moves closer
to the Ryukyu Islands. The storm center was last located approximately 280km
southeast of Okinawa. Maximum sustained winds are down to 130kph with gusts of
up to 165kph. Typhoon Francisco is currently moving northwestward at 15kph.
IR Image from FNMOC
Latest satellite image shows the inner core of Francisco is
starting to get devoid of any strong convection. However, a relatively strong
band still exists on the northwestern quadrant. The weakening has been slow,
despite the cooler sea temperatures and abundance of dry air, due to the
increased poleward outflow due to the westerly winds.
Radar Image from JMA
Latest radar image out of Okinawa shows the band of light to
moderate rain moving in from the southeast. This will eventually impact the
islands in the next 3 hours or so. We expect anywhere from 30 to 60mm of rain
through tomorrow morning. Strong winds of up to 120kph could also be felt
especially in exposed areas and coastal locations. For the latest radar image
and forecasts from Japan, please click HERE (JMA Website).
Stormy conditions will persist across Okinawa and the rest
of the Ryukyu Islands for another 24 hours. Francisco should begin to turn
northward and then recurve northeastward by tomorrow evening (Thursday). Due to
the proximity and strength of Super Typhoon Lekima, there will be a small
interaction between Francisco and that storm. Lekima will steer Francisco just
south of Honshu and won’t make landfall. However, we expect Francisco to track
close enough from Japan that it will still bring storm conditions especially
along the coast of Chubu and Kanto Regions this weekend.
We’ll have another update tomorrow morning.
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