Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Tropical Storm Kong-Rey (Nando) Update #5

Issued (1230 UTC) 830pm PhT 082813

Tropical Storm Kong-Rey (Bagyong Nando) continues to move northward near Taiwan. It was last located approximately 250km north northeast of Basco, Batanes or about 290km south southeast of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds remain at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS Kong-Rey is moving northward at 15kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has lowered Public Storm Warning Signal #2 but is keeping Batanes Group of Islands under Signal #1. Meanwhile, the Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan has issued Typhoon Warning across the area for the threat of strong winds and heavy rains.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows strong convective activity continues to form. There have been some slight improvements with the overall organization but we've kept the wind speeds unchanged. Wind shear continues to slowly weaken and the central dense overcast looks more symmetrical today. Banding is still premature, though, so we're not seeing the eye formation anytime soon. However, we do expect the system to slowly intensify more as the wind shear weakens and the poleward outflow improves.

CWB Radar (Taiwan)

Latest radar image from Taiwan shows widespread rains now starting to move into the region particularly in the southern areas. Conditions will continue to deteriorate tonight as Kong-Rey moves just east of Taiwan. We're expecting 100 to 200mm of rain to fall in the next 24 hours with the heaviest rains possible in mountainous areas. For the latest radar images and forecasts from Taiwan, please click HERE (CWB).

Tropical Storm Kong-Rey (Nando) will continue moving northward bringing stormy conditions across Taiwan tonight and into tomorrow. Kong-Rey will continue to intensify and is still expected to become a Typhoon by JMA as early as tomorrow. It is forecast to move west of the Ryukyu Islands and could make landfall in Kyushu by early Saturday morning.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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