Monday, July 1, 2013

Typhoon Rumbia Update #7

Issued (11 UTC) 7pm PhT 070113

Rumbia has managed to rapidly intensify today and is now up to a Typhoon--the first of the 2013 Season. Typhoon Rumbia was last located approximately 160km east southeast of the city of Haikou in Hainan Island. Maximum sustained winds are now up to 120kph with gusts of up to 150kph TY Rumbia is moving west northwestward at 30kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite imagery shows the strong convective activity associated with Rumbia's Central Dense Overcast (CDO) nearing the island of Hainan. Typhoon Rumbia was able to develop a small eye that was visible on satellite earlier today. However, latest frames show that the system may have slightly weakened as the eye has disappeared and the eyewall starting to erode.

Radar Image from CMA

Latest radar image out of Hainan shows the eye of Rumbia moving just to the southeast of the island. Bands of light to moderate rains should begin to impact Hainan in the next few hours. Strong winds should also be felt especially along the eastern coast. Up to 100mm of rain is possible tonight into tomorrow with some places possibly receiving over 150mm increasing the likelihood of flooding. For the latest radar images and weather forecasts from China, please click HERE (CMA Official Website)

Typhoon Rumbia is forecast to move close to the eastern coast of Hainan before making landfall in Leizhou Peninsula later tonight. As said above, heavy rains and strong winds will be the threat from this typhoon tonight into tomorrow. Upon landfall, Rumbia should rapidly weaken to a Tropical Storm then to a depression as it moves further inland across Southern China.

We'll have another update tomorrow.

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