Saturday, July 13, 2013

Tropical Storm Soulik Update #13 (FINAL)

Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 071413

Tropical Storm Soulik continues to push further inland, losing strength as it does so. The storm was last located approximately 60km southwest of the city of Nanchang in the Jiangxi Province. Maximum sustained winds are down to 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Soulik is moving northwestward at 20kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the storm continuing to unravel as it moves over land. There is still some hints of organized circulation and convective activity is still strong. However, due to the loss of energy source, Soulik is continuing to rapidly weaken and should actually dissipate later today (if not tomorrow).

Radar Image from CMA

Despite the significant weakening, there is still an abundant amount of rain associated with this system. Latest radar image out of Southeastern China shows the widespread light to moderate rains impacting the provinces of Guangdong, Fujian, and Jiangxi. Latest rain reports are ranging from 100 to 200mm with isolated stations reporting nearly 300mm of rain since yesterday! Obviously, the continuous rainfall will increase the possibility of flooding and landslides in the provinces mentioned. For the latest radar and forecasts from China, please click HERE (CMA Official Website).

Unfortunately, we expect the rains to linger for a few more days even though Soulik is weakening. Expect another 100 to even 200mm of rain to fall across Southeastern China through tomorrow. But the weather should slowly improve by mid-week as Soulik completely dissipates over land.

This is the final update on Tropical Storm Soulik. Rest of the Western Pacific looks cyclone-free for now. We are watching a weak low-pressure area although development with that one is still unlikely. Nevertheless, we'll have Tropical Updates throughout the week. Stay safe!

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