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Tropical Depression 04W (Emong) has intensified into a
Tropical Storm earning the international name of “Leepi”. TS Leepi was last
located approximately of 480km east northeast of Aparri, Cagayan or about 780km
south southeast of Okinawa, Japan. Maximum sustained winds are at 65kph with
gusts of up to 85kph. TS Leepi is moving
northward at 25kph.
IR Image from NRLMRY
Latest satellite image shows strong, but fragmented,
convection surrounding the circulation center. There’s hasn’t been much
improvement in the last 6 hours, though, as we haven’t seen any further
tightening of the convective bands. Nevertheless, TS Leepi continues to show
really good poleward outflow aiding the exhaust of the system and is offsetting
the slight increase in vertical wind shear.
Tropical Storm Leepi is forecast to continue moving
northward towards the Miyako Islands, reaching that area by tomorrow. Monsoonal
flow feeding into the circulation of Leepi will continue to enhance widespread
rains across the Philippines over the next few days particularly across Luzon
and Visayas.
Computer models are in somewhat good agreement with regards
to Leepi’s track. The consensus takes the storm near Okinawa by Wednesday
evening and eventually into Mainland Japan, starting with Kyushu Island on
Thursday.
We’ll have another update tomorrow morning.
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