Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Tropical Depression 02W (Crising) Update #3 (w/ Video)

Issued (11 UTC) 7pm PhT 022013

Here is our latest Video Update on Tropical Depression 02W (Bagyong Crising).

Tropical Depression Crising continues to move across Sulu Sea. It was last located approximately 220km west northwest of Zamboanga City. Maximum sustained winds are at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Crising is currently moving west northwestward at 20kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA continues to issue Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Southern Palawan. All other signal warnings have been dropped.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a very disorganized and weak tropical system. There is very little strong convective activity associated with this storm. However, rains do continue to impact parts of the Philippines. Latest reports indicate that dozens of flights have been canceled, thousands stranded in seaports, and at least one fatality due to this storm.

Fortunately, we are noticing a gradual weakening of the rainfall intensity and coverage. While areas in Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao could still see some rains tonight and into tomorrow, we expect the amounts to be lighter compared to what we've seen in the past two days. For the latest Doppler Radar images, as well as rainfall forecasts for your area, click HERE (ClimateX PH).

Tropical Depression Crising will continue moving westward, passing near Southern Palawan tonight or early tomorrow morning (Thursday). It is forecast to eventually leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow night on its way towards the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea). We expect TD Crising to remain very weak and could even dissipate by Friday or by Saturday.

We'll have another update tomorrow. Stay safe!

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