Tuesday, January 1, 2013

Tropical Update

Happy New Year everyone! Hope you all had a wonderful celebration last night and that all your fingers and limbs remain intact!

The low pressure area which we have been watching for days now has just been tagged as Invest 92W. This disturbance continues to push west and will likely impact Mindanao beginning tomorrow. Meanwhile, Indochina, particularly Malay Peninsula, continues to receive moderate to heavy rains with some areas recording up to 150mm in just 24 hours.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows Invest 92W located just east of Palau. The convection associated with this disturbance continues to persist albeit largely disorganized. The low-level circulation center is still weak and ill-defined. Invest 92W is moving into an area of low wind shear which may allow it to develop soon.

Invest 92W is moving westward pretty quickly and may begin to impact Mindanao as early as tomorrow. The region should expect periods of light to moderate rains that could amount up to 50 or even 100mm in some areas.

Rest of the Philippines will have partly cloudy skies with chance of rain due to the northeast monsoon.

We'll have another update tomorrow.
Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 010113

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