Thursday, December 6, 2012

Typhoon Bopha (Bagyong Pablo) Update #23

NOTE: For our Video Update on Bopha, click HERE

Typhoon Bopha (Bagyong Pablo) continues to move away from the Philippines and into the South China Sea/West Philippine Sea. The storm was last located approximately 400km northwest of Puerto Princesa City in Palawan. Maximum sustained winds remain at 120kph with gusts of up to 150kph. Bopha is moving northwestward at 15kph.

Please note that both PAGASA and JTWC have downgraded Bopha into a Tropical Storm. On the other hand, JMA continues to classify the system as a Typhoon.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows Bopha moving into the South China Sea. Outflow clouds are still reaching Northern Palawan and parts of Palawan; while the bulk of convection is now over the water, we still can't rule out light rains across these regions. As for Bopha, it is trying to re-intensify and a recent microwave image (not shown here) shows curved banding which suggests that Bopha may be trying to form an eyewall once again.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Bopha may re-intensify tonight and tomorrow but should then start to gradually weaken over the weekend. A combination of cold and dry air coming from China, courtesy of the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) will lead to the weakening of the system. It won't be an impact for the Philippines, anymore.

Meanwhile, a stationary front may bring some light rains across Northern and Eastern Luzon. As for Visayas and Mindanao, expect improving weather conditions tomorrow with a slight chance of occasional showers especially in the afternoon. A tropical disturbance moving near Palau is not expected to develop into a cyclone and won't be an impact for the Philippines until perhaps by Sunday or Monday.

We'll have another update tomorrow. Stay safe!
Issued (1030 UTC) 630pm PhT 120612

1 comment:

  1. Just found your blog! Thank you, thank you so much for your updates! It is so informative!