Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Tropical Update

Invest 93W continues to slowly develop as it moves westward across the Pacific. The system remains largely disorganized with pulsating convective activity. There is a low-level circulation center but the winds are currently very light. The region has seen a slight increase in wind shear which may delay development for another one to two days.

Computer models are still showing the possibility of a cyclone development in this region over the next 3 to 5 days. Once it does develop, 93W will continue moving westward and could enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Sunday. Exact track and intensity are still unknown at this time.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Meanwhile the Trade Winds are bringing scattered rain showers from Palau all the way into Eastern Mindanao. Expect light rains from time to time. The rest of the Philippines will have clear weather, especially to the north courtesy of the NE Monsoon.

We'll have another update tomorrow.
Issued (14 UTC) 10pm PhT 121912

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