Saturday, October 6, 2012

Tropical Storm Gaemi Update #7 [LANDFALL]

Tropical Storm Gaemi (Formerly Bagyong Marce) is now making landfall along the coast of Vietnam. The system was last located along the coast of Phu Yen Province or about 400km northeast of the city of Ho Chi Minh. Maximum sustained winds are at 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Gaemi is currently moving westward at 25kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the bulk of convective activity is now over Vietnam. The low-level center, which is still exposed, is just about to move inland. Threat of strong winds, high waves, and heavy rains will continue to remain along the Vietnamese Coast throughout the night. Further inland, rains and gusty winds will also be a threat for the next 12 to 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Gaemi should weaken to a Tropical Depression later this evening and is forecast to eventually dissipate by tomorrow afternoon. However, heavy rains are still forecast across Southern Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and even into Thailand as we move into the next 2 to 3 days. As much as 150mm of rain is possible across this region as Gaemi moves further inland.

We'll have another update on Tropical Storm Gaemi tomorrow. Meanwhile, the low pressure area near Guam that we've been watching for days remains disorganized and weak. However, we are still expecting this disturbance (Invest 99W) to slowly consolidate and could still become a tropical cyclone in the next 3 to 5 days.
Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 100612

No comments:

Post a Comment