Tropical Storm Gaemi (Bagyong Marce) continues to linger over the South China Sea/West Philippine Sea just west of Luzon. The storm was last located approximately 370km west northwest of Manila or about 250km west of Iba, Zambales. Maximum sustained winds are at 100kph with gusts of up to 130kph. Gaemi is currently moving south southeastward at 10kph.
As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Bataan and Zambales for the threat of gusty winds along with rough surf and rain showers. Please head to PAGASA's official site HERE or to Project NOAH by clicking HERE for the latest radar images, warnings, and forecasts for the Philippines.
IR Image from NRLMRY
Latest satellite image shows the storm continuing to consolidate with an improving central convection and radial outflow. While the bulk of the convection remains offshore, Gaemi is enhancing some scattered rainshowers across parts of Luzon and Visayas. Some of these showers can have thunderstorms embedded within them bringing the possibility of brief heavy downpours which could result to urban flooding.
Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)
Tropical Storm Gaemi will continue lingering west of Luzon tonight but should then begin to turn to the west by tomorrow. Rain showers, however, will continue for parts of the Philippines for another 2 days. Gaemi is forecast to move westward, intensifying along the way. The system could reach Typhoon-intensity by Friday and could then make landfall in Vietnam by Saturday afternoon. Gaemi will continue moving inland into Indochina, weakening into a depression by Sunday as it moves into Thailand.
We'll have another update on Gaemi and Maliksi tomorrow.
Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 100312