Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Typhoon Haikui Update #8 (Landfall)

Typhoon Haikui continues to consolidate as it nears the eastern coast of China. Haikui was last located approximately 260km east of Wenzhou (Zhejiang Province) or about 420km south southeast of Shanghai. Maximum sustained winds remain at 120kph with gusts of up to 155kph. Haikui is currently moving northwestward at 10kph.

China Meteorological Administration have issued Orange Warning for Haikui as it nears landfall. CMA has also raised Blue Warning for the rains of up to 300mm that could be brought by Haikui in the next 2 days. If you are across Zhejiang, Northern Fujian, Jiangsu, and Shanghai, please continue to closely monitor the developments in your area.

Radar from CMA

Latest radar from Ningbo shows the center of Haikui nearing the coast. Outer and inner rain bands have begun to impact the Province with rainfall amounts now up to 100mm being reported in some stations. Some areas are also starting to see sustained winds of up to 100kph, particularly those along the coast. Conditions will continue to deteriorate and spread to other areas in the coming hours as Haikui nears landfall. Outer rain bands will also start to affect nearby provinces such as Fujian, Jiangsu, and Shanghai tonight and into tomorrow. As forecasted by the CMA, there could be as much as 300mm of rain in the next 2 days so be wary of flash floods and landslides. For more radar images, forecasts, and warnings in your area, please click HERE (CMA Website)

IR Image from NRLMRY

Typhoon Haikui continues to show gradual improvement with the eye becoming more defined. Convective bands are also showing stronger activity as they continue to wrap around the circulation. However, we no longer expect Haikui to intensify further as it will start interacting with the Chinese coast in a few hours.

Forecast Track

Typhoon Haikui is forecast to make landfall between the cities of Wenzhou in Ningbo later tonight or early tomorrow morning (Wednesday) bringing winds of 120 to 155kph. Rains and strong winds will spread further inland tonight and these stormy conditions could last in the next 2 days. Haikui will weaken to a Tropical Storm tomorrow as it moves across Zhejiang. It will start to recurve to the northeast by Thursday and could pass within 200km of Shanghai by early Friday morning. By that time, Haikui could be a weak tropical storm or even a depression but will still bring heavy rains and gusty winds across Shanghai and nearby areas.

Haikui will re-emerge into the East China Sea by Saturday as a tropical depression. We don't really expect the system to recoup much of its strength as it will be suffering greatly when it makes landfall tonight. Nevertheless, Haikui could still pose a threat across South Korea or Western Japan bringing rains and gusty winds. Close monitoring for residents in these areas is still required even as Haiku weakens.

If you have any storm reports, questions, or comments, please email them to us at philippineweather@yahoo.com

We'll have more updates tomorrow. Stay safe!
Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 080712

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