Monday, August 6, 2012

Typhoon Haikui Update #7

Haikui has managed to intensify into a typhoon overnight as it moves slowly across the East China Sea. The system was last located approximately 350km west northwest of Okinawa or about 480km southeast of Shanghai. Maximum sustained winds are now at 120kph with gusts of up to 155kph. Haikui is currently moving westward at 10kph.

CMA has now raised Orange Warning for the approach of Haikui. This means stormy conditions are expected within 24 hours. Continue to monitor the developments in your area and prepare now; always coordinate with the local officials for the latest warnings and forecasts.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows the center of the storm becoming more organized with convective bands now fully wrapping around the circulation. The eyewall is not yet fully established, however, and we are still seeing disruptions across the circulation. Typhoon Haikui should continue slowly intensifying throughout today as it nears landfall.

Haikui is forecast to make landfall as early as tonight along the coast of Zhejiang Province. Potential landfall area is near the city of Wenzhou, south of Ningbo, and roughly 300km south of Shanghai. It will then weaken to a Tropical Storm as it creeps across Eastern China. Haikui could then start turning to the north by Wednesday and eventually recurve to the northeast. Based on the latest forecasts, Haikui could move within 200km west of Shanghai by Thursday evening or Friday morning as a weak Tropical Storm.

Southwest Monsoon Alert

Widespread heavy rains continue to fall across Central and Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila. Many areas have reported anywhere between 50 and 150mm in the past 24 hours alone flooding towns, causing rivers to swell, and even causing dams to reach spilling levels. Many schools are also closed throughout Manila and the nearby provinces. Unfortunately, these rains will persist in the next 2 days as Haikui continues to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat). Continue to watch the news for the latest developments in your area. If you have any reports of flooding or damages, please feel free to email them to us as

We'll have another update later this afternoon. Stay safe!
Issued (23 UTC) 7am PhT 080712

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