Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Typhoon Damrey Update #8

Damrey has quickly intensified in the past 6 hours and is now a Typhoon as it quickly moves towards China. The system was last located approximately 260km north northeast of Shanghai, China. Maximum sustained winds are now at 140kph with gusts of up to 175kph. Damrey is currently moving west northwestward at 35kph.

China's CMA has now issued Orange Alert for the approach of Typhoon Damrey. Please continue watching the news for the latest, especially if you are in Jiangsu Province.

Radar from CMA

Latest radar from China now beginning to pick up Damrey's eye as it quickly approaches from the east. No effects yet except for strong waves along the coast. We expect conditions to rapidly deteriorate, however, in the next 2 hours. Damrey is a quick moving storm although it can still bring rainfall amounts of up to 100mm in some places so there is still the likelihood of flooding and landslides. For the latest warnings in China, please click HERE

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the well-defined eye and very symmetrical look of Damrey. Our current wind intensity analysis is way higher than both JMA and JTWC due to the recent representation. Though the cloud tops have warmed in the past 3 hours (indicating weakening) we still think this system is way stronger than what the two agencies are currently showing. With that said, the system should start to quickly weaken as it makes landfall in about two hours in Jiangsu Province, around 300km north of Shanghai. It will make a turn to the north then should dissipate altogether as early as tomorrow.

We'll have more updates later this afternoon.
Issued (0330 UTC) 1130am PhT 080212

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