Friday, August 24, 2012

Tropical Storm Tembin (Igme) Update #12

NOTE: For our latest Video Update on Tembin and Bolaven, please click HERE

If you have any storm images or videos from Tembin's effects in Taiwan, please share them with us at

Tembin has weakened to a Tropical Storm after making landfall in Southern Taiwan earlier this morning. It was 360km south southwest of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds are now down to 110kph with gusts of up to 140kph. Tembin is currently moving west southwestward at 15kph.

As of 5pm today, Public Storm Warning Signal #2 from PAGASA remains in effect for Batanes Group of Islands. Signal #1 for Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands. The Central Weather Bureau in Taiwan continues to issue Typhoon Warnings in some counties along with Extremely Heavy Rain Advisory for much of the island. Please go to CWB's site for the latest warnings.

Radar Image from CWB

Latest radar image out of Taiwan shows the center of Tembin remains somewhat intact as it moves offshore. Moderate to heavy rains continue to impact Pingtung and Kaohsiung with scattered showers impacting other parts of Taiwan. Along with strong winds, many areas in Central and Southern Areas of Taiwan reported seeing rainfall amounts of up to 300mm so far today. Another 100 to even 200mm are still possible tonight and into tomorrow especially along southeastern portions. For more radar images, warnings, and forecasts from Taiwan, please click HERE (CWB Website)

IR Image from NRLMRY

Despite the center remaining intact, Tembin really took a blow from crossing Taiwan. The central dense overcast barely looks symmetrical and cloud tops have really warmed in the past 12 hours. The eyewall has also eroded with strong convective activity confined near the center. Tembin will stay in a somewhat favorable region which should allow it to intensify back to a typhoon this weekend. It will take its time though as it tries to sort out and re-consolidate its core.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Tropical Storm Tembin will meander in the seas southwest of Taiwan for nearly 3 days as a Fujiwhara Effect between Bolaven occurs.. It will enter back into the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Sunday as a possible Typhoon. It will then cross the Luzon Strait passing near Hengchun in Southern Taiwan by Monday morning and moving near Batanes Islands by Monday evening. Depending on how Tembin recuperates, it could re-intensify into a Category 2 by Tuesday. Along with rains in Taiwan, showers and gusty winds will also continue for the islands north of Luzon. Furthermore, expect the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) to gradually affect parts of Luzon this weekend.

We'll have another update tomorrow. Stay safe!
Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 082412

No comments:

Post a Comment