Saturday, July 21, 2012

Tropical Storm Vicente Update #4

09W quickly strengthened overnight and has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm. Tropical Storm Vicente (Formerly Bagyong Ferdie) has left the Philippine Area of Responsibility and all Signal Warnings have been dropped by PAGASA. As of 6am today, TS Vicente was last located approximately 330km south southeast of Hong Kong. Maximum sustained winds are now at 85kph with gusts of up to 100kph. The storm is currently moving westward at 20kph.

As of 6am this morning, Hong Kong remains under Standby Signal No. 1 as Vicente moves well south of the region today. No adverse effects expected from Vicente.

IR Image from NRLMRY

As expected, 09W/Vicente strengthened quickly overnight as the circulation was able to consolidate with convective activity becoming more concentrated around the center of the storm. Conditions will remain favorable for intensification in the next two days. Vicente is forecast to peak by Monday afternoon with a strength just below Typhoon status. It will then move into the Leizhou Peninsula in Guangzhou Province in China. It will slightly weaken before emerging into the Gulf of Tonkin. TS Vicente is then forecast to make landfall on the northeastern part of Vietnam by Monday night or early Tuesday morning.

We'll have another update later this afternoon.
Issued (2230 UTC) 630am PhT 072212

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