Saturday, October 1, 2011

Typhoon Nalgae (Quiel) Update #10

Typhoon Nalgae continues to weaken as it moves away from Luzon. It was last located approximately 220km west northwest of Dagupan City or about 350km northwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 150kph gusting to 185kph which is equivalent to a strong Category 1 Typhoon. Nalgae has slowed down and is moving westward at a speed of 20kph.

As of 5am today, PAGASA still has Signal #1 for Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Benguet, Zambales , and Pangasinan. All other Signal Warnings in other provinces have now been lowered.

IR Image shows how Nalgae has suffered due to land interaction. Still maintains a strong convective activity but it does look really ragged. Wind shear is not that favorable and waters in the South China Sea is a little bit cooler compared to the Philippine Sea.


While we do expect Nalgae to continue weakening, it will probably maintain that Typhoon intensity up until landfall in Central Vietnam by early Wednesday morning (Local time). It will then weaken to a tropical storm and eventually dissipate over Indochina by Friday.

We'll have another update later today.
Issued (23 UTC) 7am PhT 100211

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