Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Typhoon Nesat (Pedring) Update #15

Typhoon Nesat (Pedring) weakens as it continues to move away from Luzon. It was last located approximately 480km northwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are down to 130kph gusting to 165kph. Nesat is moving west northwestward at 20kph and should exit the PAR later today.

As of 5am today, PAGASA have lowered signal warnings for some areas. Signal #2 is still in effect, though, for Zambales, La Union , and Pangasinan. Signal #1 for Bataan, Pampanga, Benguet, Tarlac, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Ilocos Norte. 

These areas could still see some light to moderate rains, rough surf, and strong gusty winds throughout this morning.  Rainfall reports so far from Luzon are around 150 to 250mm. Some areas received more than 300mm including Subic which actually reported a 24-hr rain total of more than 400mm! Conditions should begin to improve, however, for most parts of the Philippines. The SW Monsoon, however, will still bring scattered showers through parts of Luzon and Visayas.

IR image shows the land interaction with Luzon has really disrupted Nesat's organization. We are still seeing some intense convective activity on the southern half although the northern half is now completely fragmented.


We are still expecting Nesat to re-intensify today due to somewhat favorable conditions. It could likely reach a secondary peak of about Category 2 status. Forecasts continue to bring Nesat towards Hainan by Friday.

We'll have more update later this afternoon. Our update for TS Nalgae (22W) will also be released by that time.
Issued (21 UTC) 5am PhT 092811

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