Monday, September 26, 2011

TY Nesat (Pedring) Update #13

Typhoon Nesat (Pedring) continues to slowly weaken as it begins to be severely affected by the Sierra Madre and Cordillera Mountain Ranges. The storm was last located approximately 220km north of Manila or about 50km northeast of Baguio. Maximum sustained winds are now around 165kph gusting to 195kph. Nesat is moving west northwestward at 20kph.

As of 11am today, Signal Warning #3 from PAGASA is in effect for Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Kalinga, Mt. Province, Ifugao, Benguet, La Union, Nueva Viscaya, and Pangasinan. Signal #2 for Apayao, Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Ecija, Zambales, Pampanga, Tarlac, Bulacan, Bataan, and Metro Manila. Signal # is up for Babuyan, Calayan group of Islands, Northern Quezon, Polillo Island, Rizal, Laguna, Batangas, Lubang Island, and Cavite.

Typhoon-force winds (more than 120kph) extend to about 60km away from the center while tropical storm-force winds (less than 120kph) extend as far as 250km away from the center. The closes reporting station-Laoag-is indicating winds of up to 50kph with rapidly decreasing pressure. NAIA is also reporting wind gusts of up to 80kph.

Latest VIS Image shows that the circulation is still pretty much intact. Convective activity remains strong although cloud tops have warmed due to land interaction.


Rain reports so far indicate around 100mm to 200mm of rain has fallen for parts of Bicol and Southern Luzon (including Manila). Rainfall amounts in the north could likely surpass that with amounts between 150 to 250mm or even as high as 300mm. Storm surges are also being reported for much of Eastern Luzon. The same thing goes for the Western seaboard and we are actually receiving reports from Manila showing very strong surf and high waves from Manila Bay which have inundated the adjacent Roxas Boulevard. As expected this storm has cancelled schools, flights, sea-land-and rail travel. It's best to stay at home for today.

Typhoon Nesat should maintain its typhoon intensity as it crosses Luzon although it could weaken to a Category 1 before exiting out into sea. It should pass just north of Baguio City later this afternoon and will cross into La Union by the early evening hours, eventually moving into South China Sea.

We'll have another update coming up later this afternoon. If you have weather reports in your area, you can send them in including photos and videos to our email:

Stay safe!
Issued (04 UTC) 12pm PhT 092711

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