Saturday, September 24, 2011

TS Nesat (Pedring) Update #3

Tropical Storm Nesat (Bagyong Pedring) continues to strengthen as it moves westward across the Philippine Sea. The center was last locateed 1,050km east of Manila. Maximum sustained winds have increased to 100kph gusting to 130kph. Nesat is moving westward at 20kph.

Latest VIS image shows the ever-improving circulation of Nesat with impressive convective activity and outflow. The central dense overcast (CDO) is well established now and the recent microwave image is hinting at a possible eyewall beginning to take shape.

VIS Image from NRLMRY

Conditions are highly favorable and TS Nesat/Pedring could actually become a typhoon by this afternoon. The storm will continue moving westward, intensifying along the way. We are still forecasting a landfall somewhere in NE Luzon (Cagayan/Isabela) by late Tuesday night.

We'll have another update later today both for Nesat and 21W which is in the South China Sea.
Issued (0030 UTC) 830am PhT 092511

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