Monday, June 13, 2011

Tropical Update

No tropical cyclones currently although there's a weak low pressure area somewhere in Southern Philippines, near Palawan and Mindanao. We don't expect a tropical cyclone formation here although it will definitely bring rains to the south.

As far as forecasts go, computer models continue to show two areas for potential development: western South China Sea near Vietnam and another one east of the Philippines. The timing looks to be around 3 to 5 days from now. Right now, neither of them looks very strong on the models although one of them might impact the Philippines next week. Again, this is a just a vague forecast based on continuous computer model trends for the past two days. There isn't really an area of concern YET so we will see.

Issued (0830 UTC) 430pm PhT 061311

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