Sunday, May 8, 2011

TS Aere (Bebeng) Update #8

Landfall update and Short-Term Forecast

Tropical Storm Aere (Bagyong Bebeng) has made landfall in Southeastern Isabela about an hour ago. It is now 90km north northeast of Casiguran, Aurora. Winds have weakened to 85kph due to land interaction. TS Aere is moving north northwestward at around 18kph. Storm Signal Warning #2 is up for Aurora, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Viscaya, Ifugao, Mt. Province, Kalinga, and Cagayan. Signal #1 for Northern Quezon, Polilio Island, Nueva Ecija, Benguet, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Ilocos Norte, Apayao, Babuyan, Calayan Group of Islands, and Batanes.

TS Aere is forecast to continue moving NNW-ward passing within 20km east of Tuguegarao at around 4pm. It should then pass by Aparri, Cagayan at around 8 or 9pm tonight. TS Aere should also continue to lose some strength because of the mountainous terrain in Northern Luzon. However, we are now expecting it to remain as a tropical storm throughout its crossing over the island.

A more in-depth update will be posted at 3pm today for the medium range forecast for TS Aere.

PAGASA's Storm Signal Warnings as of 11am PhT

Short-term Forecast Track

Issued (4 UTC) 12pm PhT 050911

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