Sunday, May 10, 2015

Typhoon Noul (Dodong) Update #9

Issued (0430 UTC) 1230pm PhT 051115

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Typhoon Noul (Bagyong Dodong) is now rapidly weakening as it moves away from the Philippines. The center of Noul was last located approximately 130km north northeast of Basco, Batanes or about 380km south southeast of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds are down to 185kph with gusts of up to 230kph. Typhoon Noul is moving northward at 20kph.

As of 11am today, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #3 for Batanes Group of Islands. Signal #2 for Babuyan and Calayan Group of Islands. Signal #1 for Northern Cagayan.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows Noul becoming much more ragged this morning. The typhoon is weakening at a fast pace as it moves into more hostile environment with drier air and increasing wind shear. However, Noul is still bringing bands of light to moderate rains across Eastern Taiwan and will linger for another 6 to 12 hours. Heavy rain advisories have been issued by the Central Weather Bureau for the threat brought by Typhoon Noul.

Typhoon Noul will continue moving northward and should turn more to the northeast today. Increasingly unfavorable conditions will lead to further weakening in the next few days. However, we expect Noul to still bring stormy conditions across the Southern Japanese Islands. Even Okinawa might still see some typhoon-force conditions by tomorrow morning (Tuesday). The Japan Meteorological Agency has already issued warnings and advisories for the impending threat and Kadena Air Base is now under TCCOR-2.

If you live in one of these islands, expect strong winds and heavy rains to commence this evening with the worst part happening tomorrow morning (especially for Okinawa). Please stay alert and always consult JMA for the latest official warnings and forecasts.

We'll have another update later this evening.

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