Sunday, December 7, 2014

Typhoon Hagupit (Ruby) Update #11

Issued (16 UTC) 12am PhT 120814

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Typhoon Hagupit (Bagyong Ruby) continues to weaken as it moves near Burias Island. The storm center was last located approximately 50km northwest of Masbate City or about 60km southwest of Legazpi City, Albay. Maximum sustained winds are down to 140kph with gusts of up to 175kph. Typhoon Hagupit is moving west northwestward at 10kph.

As of 11pm this evening, here are the latest Public Storm Warning Signals from PAGASA:

Signal #3: Masbate, Ticao Island, Burias Island, Marinduque, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Batangas, Laguna, Cavite, Southern Quezon and Lubang Island.

Signal #2: Calamian Grp. of Islands, Bulacan, Bataan, Rest of Quezon, Rizal, Sorsogon, Albay, Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, Metro Manila, Semirara Island, Biliran, Aklan, Capiz and Bantayan Island.

Signal #1: Polillo Island, Zambales, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Pampanga, Catanduanes, Northern Palawan including Cuyo, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Leyte, Iloilo, Antique, Guimaras, Negros Occidental, and Northern Cebu including Cebu City and Camotes Island.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows Hagupit looking less and less of a typhoon this evening. Convection has significantly weakened and banding has lessened as well. Dry air to the north and to the west are being entrained into the circulation which is causing the weakening. With that said, Hagupit should not be underestimated as strong winds and heavy rains are still affecting many areas in Luzon and Visayas.

Radar Image from PAGASA

Latest radar image from PAGASA shows bands of light to moderate rains moving across Eastern Visayas and into parts of Bicol Region. Subic Radar is also starting to pick up rain bands which will soon affect Southern Luzon including Metro Manila. We expect up to 200mm of rainfall over the next 12 hours. Flooding and landslides are still highly likely in some areas. Please heed the warnings of your local officials!

For the latest radar images, please click HERE (Project NOAH)

Typhoon Hagupit will continue moving generally west northwestward tracking near Southern Luzon including the provinces of Quezon and Laguna. It will pass well south of Manila in the morning but may still bring winds of p to 100kph in the metro. Moderate rains will also persist through the afternoon hours tomorrow and will spread into parts of Mindoro Island. Typhoon Hagupit is forecast to eventually move into the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea) by Monday evening or into early Tuesday morning.

We'll have another update in the morning. 

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