Sunday, October 12, 2014

Typhoon Vongfong Update #12

Issued (15 UTC) 11pm PhT 101214

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Typhoon Vongfong continues to move closer to the island of Kyushu. The system was last located approximately 300km southwest of the city of Kagoshima. Maximum sustained winds are down to 120kph with gusts of up to 150kph. Typhoon Vongfong is moving north northeastward at 20kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows convection continuing to weaken and become asymmetrical. Wind field has also spread unevenly. Further analysis suggest Vongfong is beginning to transition into an extra-tropical cyclone. Nevertheless, stormy conditions will still be a threat for Mainland Japan in the next 2 days.

Radar Image from JMA

Latest radar image from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing bands of light to moderate rains already affecting Kyushu and even pushing as far east already as Shikoku. Winds of up to 100kph are also starting to be reported along the coastal areas in the region. High waves of up to 5 meters are also possible and the JMA has issued a plethora of weather warnings for different prefectures in the region.

For the latest radar images and warnings for Japan, please click HERE (JMA Website)

Typhoon Vongfong will continue to weaken and should become a Tropical Storm before it makes landfall in Kyushu tomorrow morning (Monday). It will move near Kagoshima, cross Kyushu, and then move into Shikoku. It will also move near the cites of Osaka, Kyoto, and Nagoya by Monday afternoon and evening. We expect a general 100 to 200mm of rain to fall across the islands over the next 24 hours. Vongfong will then become completely extra-tropical by Tuesday as it moves into Northern Honshu and eventually exit into the North Pacific Ocean.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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