Friday, August 8, 2014

Typhoon Halong Update #20

Issued (01 UTC) 9am PhT 080914

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Typhoon Halong has maintained intensity as it moves closer to making landfall in Japan. The system was last located approximately 160km southeast of Miyazaki or about 550km southwest of Osaka. Maximum sustained winds are at 130kph with gusts of up to 165kph. Typhoon Halong is moving north northeastward at 15kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the center of Halong moving near the island of Kyushu. The system is maintaining strong convective banding and the core has actually shown signs of re-organization. We may see Halong regain a little bit of intensity later this afternoon as conditions are still somewhat supportive for tropical cyclones.

Radar Image from JMA

Latest radar image shows widespread rains already impacting much of Shikoku, Kyushu, and parts of Honshu. Even Osaka is already reporting heavy rain showers and strong winds. Conditions across Kyushu, Shikoku, and Honshu will continue to deteriorate over the next few hours. Widespread rains will continue for the next 24 to 48 hours and up to 500mm of rainfall accumulation may be possible in some areas.

For the latest radar images and warnings for Japan, please click HERE (JMA Website)

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Halong should be able to maintain Category 1 Typhoon intensity up through landfall. We are forecasting the system to make landfall in Shikoku later this evening. Heavy rains and strong winds will hammer the island and even affect Chugoku, Kansai, and Chubu Regions in Honshu Island. Halong will, then, move into the Sea of Japan by Sunday and could move into Russia by Monday morning as a tropical storm.

We'll have another update later today.

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