Friday, August 1, 2014

Tropical Storm Halong Update #8

Issued (1130 UTC) 730pm PhT 080114

Tropical Storm Halong has intensified as it continues to move across the Philippine Sea. The storm was last located approximately 580km north of Yap or about 770km west northwest of Guam. Maximum sustained winds are now at 100kph with gusts of up to 130kph. TS Halong is moving west northwest at 15kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

We're seeing some improvements this evening with regards to Halong's organization. A central dense overcast has become more symmetrical with ample convective activity. Further analysis reveals that the eyewall continues to improve as well and may be completely established overnight. We could even see Halong become a Typhoon by tomorrow at this rate.

Tropical Storm Halong will continue moving across the Philippine Sea over the next few days. It will start turning more to the north as the sub-tropical ridge weakens. Environmental conditions will be favorable for further intensification and could see Halong become a Category 2 Typhoon by next week. Latest computer models are taking Halong towards the Japanese Islands by the middle of next week.

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