Saturday, August 2, 2014

Super Typhoon Halong (Jose) Update #10

Issued (04 UTC) 12pm PhT 080314

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Super Typhoon Halong (Bagyong Jose) maintains its very strong intensity as it continues to move across the Philippine Sea. The eye of Halong was last located approximately 950km northeast of Borongan, Eastern Samar or about 1,350km south southeast of Okinawa, Japan. Maximum sustained winds are at 260kph with gusts of up to 315kph. Halong is moving west northwestward at 15kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the perfectly symmetrical eye of Halong surrounded by strong and deep convective activity and good radial outflow.Halong rapidly intensified from a mere Category 1 Typhoon less than 36 hours ago to a Category 5 Super Typhoon this morning. Further analysis, however, suggests that an eyewall replacement cycle may be happening and could lead to a partial weakening in the short term.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Super Typhoon Halong will continue moving across the Philippine Sea and should turn to the north by Monday. So far, the consensus among computer models is taking Halong near the Ryukyu Islands of Japan by the latter part of this week. Residents from Okinawa all the way to Mainland Japan should closely monitor the progress of Halong.

We'll have another update later this evening.

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