Neoguri has now weakened to a Tropical Storm as it approaches the island of Kyushu. The storm center was last located approximately 280km west southwest of Nagasaki or about 320km west of Kagoshima. Maximum sustained winds are down to 110kph with gusts of up to 155kph. Neoguri is moving westward at 20kph.
Watch our Video Update below for the complete analysis and forecast for this storm.
Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)
Tropical Storm Neoguri will continue to track eastward and will make landfall near the city of Kagoshima in Kyushu by early tomorrow morning (Thursday). It will then track along the southern portion of Shikoku and then move into Honshu by Thursday evening. Neoguri will continue rapidly weakening as it moves near the cities of Osaka and Nagoya by Friday morning. It will also move near the Tokyo Area by Friday afternoon. And by Saturday, we expect the system to move into the North Pacific away from Japan.
Rainfall amounts that could fall across the regions of Japan will range from 200 to as much as 400mm. Mountainous regions will be very susceptible to landslides and low-lying areas could see dangerous flash floods. As always, heed the warnings of your local officials!
We'll have another update tomorrow morning.