Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 040814
Tropical Depression Paphei (Bagyong Domeng) is showing signs of life this morning as it slowly moves across the Philippine Sea. The system was last located approximately 660km east of Davao City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 55kph with gusts of up to 75kph. TD Paphei is moving westward at 10kph.
IR Image from NRLMRY
Latest satellite image shows convective activity has increased this morning and has formed closer to the low-level center. However, wind shear is still in the moderate strength and will continue to limit intensification in the coming days. Nevertheless, there is a chance that Paphei will strengthen into a Tropical Storm today.
The bulk of heavy rains associated with Paphei remain offshore east of Mindanao. However, scattered light rains have begun affecting the region and will continue to do so in the next few days. Paphei is forecast to move northwestward and could make landfall somewhere in Surigao Provinces by Thursday. Heavy rains will begin to spread into Mindanao and parts of Visayas beginning tomorrow.
We'll have another update later today.