Sunday, April 27, 2014

Tropical Depression 06W Update #1

Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 042814

A Tropical Cyclone has formed in the Western Pacific today. Tropical Depression 06W is currently located near the Northern Marianas Islands, approximately 270km southeast of Guam. Maximum sustained winds are currently at 55kph with gusts of up to 75kph. TD 06W is moving northward at 10kph.

As of 8am this morning, the National Weather Service has issued Tropical Storm Watch for Saipan, Tinian, Alamagan, and Pagan. Tropical Storm winds greater than 62kph (39mph) are possible within the next 48 hours.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows convection continuing to build in and around the circulation of TD 06W. Favorable conditions exist in the region allowing the cyclone to consolidate at a fairly moderate pace. Further analysis reveals robust banding around the circulation which is a sign of further intensification. Rains are still offshore but may begin to impact the islands later today.

Tropical Depression 06W will continue intensifying and could become a Tropical Storm later today. The system is forecast to begin moving at a northwesterly direction and will begin impacting Guam, Saipan, and the rest of the Mariana Islands later today and into tomorrow. Rains, strong winds, and rough seas should be expected to dominate the weather in the coming days.

We'll have another update later today.

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