Sunday, November 3, 2013

Tropical Depression 30W (Wilma) Update #2

Issued (05 UTC) 1pm PhT 110413

Tropical Depression 30W (Bagyong Wilma) remains weak as it moves across Visayas and Mindanao. The center was last located approximately 20km north of Surigao City. Maximum sustained winds are down slightly to 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD 30W is moving westward at 20kph.

As of 11am this morning, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Dinagat Island, Surigao Del Norte, Siargao Island, Surigao Del Sur, Agusan Del Norte, Agusan Del Sur, Misamis Oriental , and Camiguin. These provinces will experience winds of up to 60kph along with light to moderate rains.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows some convective activity but the system as a whole remains largely disorganized. The core has not really shown any improvements which is to be expected since the system is moving near land. We're not expecting any significant intensification in the short term but the rainfall associated with the system can still bring flooding and landslides in some areas.

Tropical Depression 30W (Wilma) will keep moving westward today bringing as much as 100mm of rainfall in some areas. Places that were ravaged by the earthquake a few weeks back will have to be wary regarding landslides, especially in Bohol. Minor flooding is also possible.

TD 30W will move into the Sulu Sea by tomorrow but rainfall will spread towards Central Visayas and parts of Northern Mindanao.

We'll have another update later today.

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