Saturday, August 10, 2013

Typhoon Utor (Labuyo) Update #5

Issued (11 UTC) 7pm PhT 081013

We have our in-depth Video Discussion below:

Utor has rapidly intensified today into a Category 1 Typhoon! Typhoon Utor (Bagyong Labuyo) was last located approximately 480km east of Virac, Catanduanes or about 830km east southeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are now at 130kph with gusts of up to 165kph. TY Utor is moving westward at 25kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, Albay, Sorsogon, Northern Quezon, Polilio Island, Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Quirino, and Catanduanes.These provinces should expect to see stormy conditions beginning in 24 hours. Strong gusty winds and heavy rains are possible and even high waves along the coast. Please prepare now if you are in these areas and as always, consult with your local officials for the latest warnings for your region.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a well-defined Central Dense Overcast with strong convective activity near the center. The pinhole-eye is still obscured by high clouds although microwave analysis suggest the eyewall is still developing. Outflow channels, especially to the north, remain excellent. Environment is still conducive for further development and we could see Utor continue to intensify over the night.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Typhoon Utor should move west northwestward tonight. Outer rain bands from the storm could start impacting Catanduanes and Samar beginning tonight and early tomorrow morning. Conditions along the eastern seaboard of Luzon, especially across the Bicol Region, should start deteriorating by tomorrow and will spread northward into the provinces of Quezon, Aurora, and Isabela.

Utor (Labuyo) is forecast to make landfall in the Aurora Isabela area (near Casiguran) by early Monday morning as a possible Category 3 typhoon. Strong, damaging winds, heavy rains, and high waves should be expected along the coast and along the track of Utor. The Typhoon will, then, cross Northern Luzon and is forecast to emerge into the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) by Monday evening.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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