Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Tropical Storm Trami (Maring) Update #7

Issued (1230 UTC) 830pm PhT 082013

Tropical Storm Trami (Bagyong Maring) is now moving to the northwest on its way towards the Southern Japanese Islands and Northern Taiwan. It was last located approximately 300km south of Okinawa, Japan or about 660km east southeast of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds remain at 100kph with gusts of up to 130kph. TS Trami is moving northwestward at 20kph.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows that the convection is still being impinged along the northern half of the circulation--an indication that the wind shear is not weakening significantly just yet. Trami is now nearing the Miyako and Yaeyaema Islands of Japan and could start bringing scattered rain showers by the early morning hours.

Forecast Track

Tropical Storm Trami will now continue moving generally northwestward towards the Yaeyema and Miyako Island in Japan and then towards Taiwan. There is still a chance of Trami becoming a minimal Typhoon by tomorrow afternoon as outflow improves slightly and wind shear weakens. Rains and strong winds will impact the Japanese Islands and Taiwan beginning tomorrow and could last through Thursday. Trami is then forecast to make landfall in Fujian Province by Thursday morning as a weakening Tropical Storm.

Radar Image from Subic (ClimateX PH)

Tropical Storm Trami (Maring) continues to enhance the southwest monsoon (Habagat) bringing widespread rains across Central and Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila. For the second day in a row, government offices were closed, schools were cancelled, and even the Philippine Stock Exchance suspended trading once again. Hundreds of flights were cancelled as well as the Manila International Airport wasn't spared by the rising floodwaters.

Many municipalities are now under a state of calamity as record rains fell over the course of 48 hours. A weather station in Cavite recorded a staggering 900mm of rain which is about 3 feet! Unfortunately, we are not expecting the widespread rains to end anytime soon. There may be additional 100mm of rain by tomorrow as the southwest monsoon continues to be enhanced by Trami/Maring.

If you are in flood prone areas, please coordinate with your local officials for possible evacuation. As always, make sure to stay on top of this situation by tuning in to your local tv and radio stations. Stay safe!

If you have videos or photos of the Habagat's impact in your area, please share them us at philippineweather@yahoo.com or by going to our Facebook Page HERE.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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