Monday, August 19, 2013

Tropical Storm Trami (Maring) Update #5

Issued (1230 UTC) 830pm PhT 081913

Tropical Storm Trami (Bagyong Maring) is now beginning to recurve back to the northwest. It was last located approximately 720km south of Okinawa. Maximum sustained winds are at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS Trami is moving northeastward at 5kph.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows some improvement with Trami's organization with good convection over the low-level center. Equatorward outflow remains really good while the poleward outflow is slowly improving. Further analysis show improved banding and what seems to be an eyewall that is beginning to develop.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Tropical Storm Trami should continue on its recurvature tonight as it heads back to the northwest towards Taiwan. It should also continue intensifying as the conditions remain favorable. Trami could become a Typhoon as early as tomorrow and will likely remain that way as it moves near Northern Taiwan by Wednesday.

Radar from Subic

Meanwhile, heavy rains continue to pummel Central and Southern Luzon including the Metro Manila area due to the strong southwest monsoon (Habagat) enhanced by TS Trami. As much as 250mm of rain has already been recorded in some areas inundating major thoroughfares, closing schools, businesses, and government offices. Even the Stock Exchange suspended trading for today.

Unfortunately, it looks like there will be another round of moderate to heavy rains that could dump up to 50mm of rain in some areas. Make sure to tune in to your local news for the latest developments in your area as well as to get updated with the school and road closings. For the latest radar images and rainfall forecasts for Luzon, click HERE (ClimateX PH).

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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