Sunday, August 18, 2013

Tropical Storm Trami (Maring) Update #4

Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 081913

Tropical Storm Trami (Bagyong Maring) continues to slowly intensify as it meanders across the Philippine Sea. It was last located approximately 640km east southeast of Basco, Batanes. Maximum sustained winds are up slightly at 75kph with gusts of up to 95kph. TS Trami is moving eastward at 10kph.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows strong convective activity continuing to build over the low-level center. There is still some light to moderate northeasterly shear although the extent of the convection is much better compared to last night. Outflow is also improving, especially along the western periphery of the circulation.

Tropical Storm Trami (Maring) will continue to move very slowly over the next 24 hours as it remains in a weak steering environment. Trami is still forecast to recurve back to the northwest and head towards Taiwan. Computer models also remain in somewhat good agreement with regards to track and intensity, which show Trami becoming a typhoon by as early as Wednesday.

Radar Image from Subic

Latest radar image from Subic continue to show widespread rains impacting the Central and Southern Luzon regions, including Metro Manila. Heavy rains overnight have caused widespread flooding in Manila as places received well over 100mm of rain in just 12 hours. Classes in various municipalities are cancelled while major thoroughfares across the Metro are inundated in up to knee-deep floods. Click HERE for the latest rainfall forecasts and radar images across the Philippines.

We'll have another update on Trami later today.

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