Thursday, July 18, 2013

Tropical Depression Cimaron Update #7 (FINAL)

Issued (2330 UTC) 730am PhT 071913

Cimaron has finally made landfall in Fujian Province and is rapidly weakening as it moves further inland. The system is currently tracking in the vicinity of Xiamen City. Cimaron has been downgraded to a Tropical Depression with maximum sustained winds of around 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph.  TD Cimaron is moving northward at 15kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows Cimaron rapidly weakening as it tracks near Xiamen. Convection is waning and the overall circulation is becoming poorly organized. Nevertheless, there is still some rain associated with Cimaron and it continues to affect parts of Fujian Province.

Radar Image from CMA

Latest radar out of Xiamen shows bands of light to moderate rains continue to impact the region. Many stations are now reporting well over 100mm of rain since last night. Another 100mm could fall during the day increasing the likelihood of flash floods and landslides. For the latest radar images and forecasts from China, please click HERE (CMA Official Website).

Tropical Depression Cimaron is forecast to fully dissipate by tonight. However, rain showers could linger through tomorrow across Fujian. Both the Joint Typhoon Warning Center and the Japan Meteorological Agency have given their Final Warnings for Cimaron. Likewise, this will be our final update on this Tropical System.

IR Image from NOAA

Elsewhere in the Western Pacific Basin, we're watching two disturbances that could potentially develop into cyclones in the coming days. One is Invest 94W over the South China Sea and is showing improvements since last night. JMA is already calling it a TD while JTWC is giving it a "MEDIUM" chance of development. The other disturbance, Invest 96W, is located near Palau and is also showing strong convection. This disturbance is being given a "LOW" chance by the JTWC.

We'll have a Tropical Update later today.

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