Saturday, June 29, 2013

Tropical Storm Rumbia (Gorio) Update #4

Issued (12 UTC) 8pm PhT 062913

Tropical Storm Rumbia (Bagyong Gorio) continues to move across the islands in the Visayas region. The storm is currently moving near Burias Island and was last located approximately 80km south of Naga City. Maximum sustained winds are at 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Rumbia is moving west northwestward at 25kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has hoisted Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Masbate, Ticao Island, Burias Islands, Sorsogon, Albay, Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, Marinduque, Quezon incl. Polilio Island, Rizal, Bulacan, Pampanga, Tarlac, Zambales, Nueva Ecija, Pangasinan, Batangas, Laguna, Cavite, Bataan, and Metro Manila. Signal #1 is in effect for Catanduanes, Romblon, Mindoro Provinces incl. Lubang Island, La Union, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Aurora, Samar Provinces, Leyte Provinces, Biliran, Northeastern Iloilo, Capiz, and Aklan.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the cloudiness associated with TS Rumbia/Gorio moving across Visayas and into Southern Luzon. Circulation remains intact even though the storm is passing through numerous islands. Curved banding remains evident in the microwave images as well indicating that the system hasn't weakened at all.

Radar Image from PAGASA

Latest radar image out of Subic shows moderate rains beginning to move into Central and Southern Luzon. Rains will continue to impact the said regions, including Metro Manila, throughout tonight and into tomorrow. Up to 100mm of rain is possible in some areas increasing the risk of flooding and landslides. Likewise, the rains in Visayas will linger for at least another 24 hours. Some places in Samar Island have already recorded more than 150mm of rain and parts of Central and Eastern Visayas also reported 50 to 100mm of rain. For the latest radar images and rainfall data, click HERE (ClimateX PH Website)

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Tropical Storm Rumbia (Gorio) will continue moving northwestward tonight eventually moving into Southern Luzon by tomorrow morning. The storm is forecast to pass near Metro Manila by late tomorrow morning and should exit Luzon tomorrow afternoon. Heavy rains will continue in many regions along with strong winds and rough waves. Residents living in low-lying and landslide-prone areas should continue to coordinate with their local officials for the latest on this storm.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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