Wednesday, December 5, 2012

Typhoon Bopha (Bagyong Pablo) Update #21 (w/ Video)

NOTE: Here is our latest Video Update for Typhoon Bopha. Scroll down below for our in-depth Text Update and Forecast Track.

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Text Update

Typhoon Bopha (Bagyong Pablo) is now moving away from Palawan and into the South China Sea or the West Philippine Sea. The storm was last located approximately 120km northwest of Puerto Princesa City. Maximum sustained winds are at 120kph with gusts of up to 150kph. Typhoon Bopha is moving west northwestward at 20kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has kept Public Storm Warning Signal #3 for Northern Palawan and Calamian Group of Islands. Signal #2 for the Rest of Palawan and Signal #1 for Occidental Mindoro. These provinces will continue to have stormy weather especially across Palawan throughout the night. Visayas and Mindanao, on the other hand, should expect gradual improvement in the weather. Seas in and around Central Philippines will, however, remain choppy and so sea travel is still discouraged as of this time.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows Bopha maintaining good organization although numerous landfalls across Mindanao, Visayas, and Palawan has taken a toll in the system. Convective activity has weakened although we are still seeing some strong activity near the center. Conditions will remain favorable over the South China Sea in the next two days that may allow the system to recover and intensify a little bit.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Typhoon Bopha is forecast to continue moving northwestward away from the Philippines. Palawan will still experience stormy conditions with rainfall amounts of up to 50mm possible tonight. Visayas and Mindanao should have quieter weather tonight and a much better situation overall across the Philippines by tomorrow.

By Saturday, we expect Bopha to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility and should also start to weaken by that time due to cool and dry air that will be coming in from China. It will remain in the South China Sea through the weekend due to the weak steering environment and will, hopefully, dissipate in that area by Tuesday.

We'll have another update tomorrow. Stay safe!
Issued (2230 UTC) 630pm PhT 120512

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