Tuesday, December 25, 2012

Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) Update #3 (w/ Video)

Merry Christmas! Here is our latest Video Update on Tropical Storm Wukong (Bagyong Quinta). Scroll down below for our complete Text Update and numerous Forecast Images!

Text Update

TD 27W (Bagyong Quinta) has now been upgraded into Tropical Storm Wukong by JMA (JTWC still classifying it as a Tropical Depression). The system was last located approximately 160km east northeast of Surigao City or about 150km southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar. Maximum sustained winds are at 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Wukong is moving west northwestward at 25kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Eastern Samar, Western Samar, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Northern Cebu (including Camotes Island), Dinagat Island, Siargao Island, and Surigao del Norte. Signal #1 for Northern Samar, Masbate (including Ticao Island), Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros, Siquijor, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, and Surigao del Sur.

Areas mentioned above should expect stormy conditions including strong winds and heavy rains. Coordinate with your local officials for the latest warnings and possible evacuations. Stay safe!

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the convective activity associated with Wukong impacting the islands in Visayas. The storm is having difficulties consolidating due to moderate wind shear. Nevertheless, convection has persisted and we are actually seeing another blow-up occurring near the low-level center. The approaching diurnal maximum could spur another round of intensification throughout the night.

Cebu Radar from ClimateX

Latest radar out of Cebu Station shows the bands of light to moderate rains impacting parts of Samar, Leyte, Dinagat Island, and also Bohol. Northern Mindanao also getting some light to moderate rains. Scattered showers are also being reported across Cebu, Negros, Iloilo, and the smaller islands in between. Many areas are already reporting more than 50mm of rain. In fact, Tacloban has already seen up to 80mm of rain since this morning and more could be on the way.

For the latest radar images and rainfall data for your area, please click HERE (ClimateX)

2-Day Rainfall Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Here is our 2-day rainfall forecast for Wednesday and Thursday. Green shadings represent around 50mm of rain, blue for 100mm, and red for up to 150mm of rain. The heaviest precipitation is forecast to fall across Central and Eastern Visayas. Some light to moderate rains may impact Northern Mindanao but they won't be as heavy. Parts of Eastern Luzon could also see some light to moderate rains due to converging winds.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Tropical Storm Wukong (Bagyong Quinta) is forecast to continue moving generally west northwestward. It could make landfall in Leyte Island later this evening or early tomorrow morning. Heavy rains will continue to pound Eastern Visayas throughout the night, especially as the storm moves closer. By tomorrow (Wednesday), more rains will overspread Central and Eastern Visayas and also across Northern Mindanao. Wukong will be tracking across many islands so we are not expecting any significant intensification. By Thursday, the system could be moving across Northern Palawan and should be exiting into the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) by Friday.

We'll have another update tomorrow. Stay safe!
Issued (09 UTC) 5pm PhT 122512

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