Sunday, October 28, 2012

Typhoon Son-Tinh Update #12

Son-Tinh remains a very powerful typhoon as it nears the coast of Northern Vietnam. The storm's center was last located approximately 180km southeast of Hanoi. Maximum sustained winds are at 165kph with gusts of up to 215kph. Son-Tinh is moving north northwestward at 15kph.

Landfall has been pushed to about 8pm this evening (Vietnam local time). Stormy conditions now impacting the region so please always stay informed and continue to keep monitoring the news. Always coordinate with your local officials for the latest information and warnings on this system. Stay safe!

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the Central Dense Overcast (CDO) remains very well organized with convective activity continuing to fire off near the center. Latest satellite trends suggest that Son-Tinh may be intensifying in the short-term, just before it makes landfall. Already bands of heavy rains are moving inland coupled with strong winds that could sometimes reach 160kph. These are damaging winds so please stay safe!

Radar from Vietnam Meteorology

Latest radar out of shows the bands of light to moderate rains moving in from the southeast. We are already getting reports of 50mm of rain in the past 6 hours alone and more is on the way. We could see as much as 150mm to 200mm of rain in the next 24 to 48 hours especially now that Son-Tinh is forecast to linger in this region. For the latest radar images, warnings, and forecasts from Vietnamese authorities, please click HERE

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Typhoon Son-Tinh is forecast to make landfall in the next 3 to 6 hours somewhere around 100km southeast of Hanoi. Typhoon-force winds will continue for the next 6 to 12 hours along the coast while Tropical Storm conditions will be present inland. As stated above, as much as 200mm of rain is possible in the next two days. We are expecting Son-Tinh to significantly slow down due to a high pressure in China. Expect stormy conditions to remain across Northern Vietnam in the next 2 to 3 days.

We'll have another update tomorrow. Stay safe!
Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 102812

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