The center of Tropical Storm Kai-Tak (Bagyong Helen) appears to be located much farther south than earlier thought. The system is now located approximately 140km east of Ilagan, Isabela. Maximum sustained winds are now at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. Kai-Tak is currently moving west northwestward at 20kph.
For the 5pm Signal Warnings from PAGASA, please read our Update #5 posted at 6pm today.
IR Image from NRLMRY
Microwave imagery and radar fixes from PAGASA suggest that the center of Kai-Tak has moved under the bulk of strong convection. Based on the latest data, the system could make landfall along the Cagayan-Isabela border in 6 hours! Strong winds and heavy rain will batter these two provinces and parts of Northern Luzon as Kai-Tak moves closer. After making landfall, it will continue turning to the northwest moving towards Cagayan and possibly towards Kalinga/Apayao tomorrow morning. If you are in these areas, please continue monitoring the news for the latest information.
This is a brief weather update based on the sudden change in the forecast. We'll have our next update tomorrow morning.
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Issued (13 UTC) 9pm PhT 081412
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