Wednesday, August 8, 2012

Tropical Storm Haikui Update #11

Tropical Storm Haikui continues to rapidly deteriorate over Eastern China. The system was last located approximately 280km west of Shanghai. Maximum sustained winds are down to 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. Haikui is currently moving west northwestward at 15kph.

The China Meteorological Administration continue to issue Yellow Warning for Typhoon and Orange Warning for Rainstorm. Winds are still expected to be around 50 to even 80kph and rainfall amounts of up to 300mm are still being forecast by CMA. Areas that are expected to be significantly affected today will be the provinces of Anhui, Jiangxi, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang. Please continue monitoring the developments in your area.

Radar from CMA

Latest composite radar from Eastern China shows the widespread rains lingering over Anhui, Jiangxi, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang Provinces. These rains can still bring well over 200mm of rain today. Many areas across Eastern China have reported 100 to 200mm of rain overnight bringing the total rainfall to over 400mm in some spots. As Haikui slowly moves to the northwest, expect the rains to start impacting the provinces of Hubei and Henan. For more radar images, warnings, and forecasts from China, please click HERE

IR Image from NRLMRY

Satellite image shows Haikui barely holding on to its core. Convection has decreased significantly although rains continue to spread across Eastern China. Winds in the region have also weakened with stations now reporting sustained winds of just 40 to 60kph.

Haikui will continue to moving west northwestward and could stall in the region in the next 24 to 36 hours. We expect the system to dissipate as early as tonight. Computer models continue to show the remnants of Haikui to eventually move northeastward, potentially bringing rains across the Korean Peninsula by early next week.

We'll have another update later today.
Issued (2230 UTC) 730am PhT 080912

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