Tuesday, July 26, 2011

TS Nock-Ten (Juaning) Update #6 (Amendment)

This is an amendment on the earlier update that we posted.

Tropical Storm Nock-Ten or Juaning was last located, as of 5pm today, approximately 50km east of Daet, Camarines Norte. Maximum sustained winds are at 65kph gusting to 75kph. Juaning is moving westward at 10kph.

As of 5pm today, PAGASA has raised Signal Warning #2 for Camarines Provinces, Albay, Catanduanes, Pangasinan, Nueva Ecija, Zambales, Pampanga, Tarlac, Bulacan, Bataan, Rizal, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas
Quezon, Polillo Island, and Metro Manila. Signal #1 for Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Apayao, Cagayan, Abra, Kalinga, Isabela, Mt. Province, Ifugao, La Union, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Aurora, Mindoro Provinces, Lubang Is., Marinduque, Romblon, Burias Is., Masbate, Ticao Is., and Sorsogo.


Signal #2 areas will begin experience gusty winds in 3 hours up to 70kph. Rainfall amounts of up to 200mm in just six hours so flash floods and landslides are likely. Signal #1 will have winds of up to 50-60kph. Rainfall amounts of 100mm in six hours possible.


Please listen to the news for latest forecasts and official warnings.

This is our Hour by Hour forecast for Juaning--our final forecast until landfall.

6pm: 50km north of Daet, Juaning moving west northwestward at 10kph; winds around 65kph
7pm: 50km north northwest of Daet, moving WNW at 10kph; winds around 65kph
8pm: 70km northwest of Daet. moving WNW at 15kph, winds around 75kph
9pm: 85km northwest of Daet, moving WNW at 15kph, winds around 75kph
10pm: 120km east of Manila, moving WNW at 15kph, passing through Polilio Island, winds around 75kph
11pm: 100km east of Manila, moving WNW at 15kph, passing through Polilio Island, winds around 80kph
12mn: 80km east northeast of Manila, moving WNW at 15kph, winds around 80kph
1am: 70km east northeast of Manila, making landfall near Infanta, Quezon, winds around 75kph
2am: 60km east northeast of Manila, moving W at 15kph, winds around 65kph
3am: WITHIN 50km north northeast of Manila, moving across Rizal (W at 10kph), winds around 65kph
4am: WITHIN 50km north of Manila, moving across Bulacan (WNW at 15kph), winds around 55kph
5am: 70km north northwest of Manila, moving across Bulacan/Tarlac (WNW at 15kph), winds around 55kph

Our next update will be 12midnight tonight.
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Issued (0930 UTC) 5pm PhT 072611

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