Friday, May 20, 2011

Tropical Storm 04W Update #2

04W has now been upgraded into a Tropical Storm. The system was last located 310km east of Yap. Maximum sustained winds are at 65kph with gusts reaching up to 85kph. TS 04W is moving west northwest at 10kph. Right now, the convection still looks to be confined on the southern and eastern side of the center but that is expected to improve today. Computer models are forecasting TS 04W to continue strengthening, perhaps becoming a typhoon early next week. It's still too early to say though where it will hit; models suggest the storm will brush extreme Northern Luzon late next week but expect that to change day by day as the computers get better handling on the storm.

Issued (16 UTC) 12am PhT 052111

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